From Scientific American Earth 3.0
The massive underground water source feeds the middle third of the country but is disappearing fast.
Can it be conserved?
By Jane Braxton Little
On America’s high plains, crops in
early summer stretch to the horizon: field after verdant field of corn,
sorghum, soy-beans, wheat and cotton. Framed by immense skies now blue, now
scarlet streaked, this 800-mile expanse of agriculture looks like it could go
on forever.
It can't.
The Ogallala Aquifer, the vast
underground reservoir that gives life to these fields, is disappearing. In some
places, the groundwater is already gone. This is the breadbasket of America-the
region that supplies at least one fifth of the total annual U.S. agricultural
harvest. If the aquifer goes dry, more than $20 billion worth of food and fiber
will vanish from the world's markets. And scientists say it will take natural
processes 6,000 years to refill the reservoir.
The challenge of the Ogallala is how
to manage human demands on the layer of water that sprawls underneath parts of
eight states from South Dakota to Texas.
As landowners strive to conserve what's left, they face a tug-of-war
between economic growth and declining natural resources. What is happening here-the
problems and solutions is a bellwether for the rest of the planet.

Using and losing: Widespread tapping of the Ogallala Aquifer for irrigation has turned vast stretches of dry plains into highly productive cropland that provides more than 20 percent of all U.S. agricultural output. One 380-square-mile section of Kansas for example, is blanketed by pivot irrigation systems (dark green plots are corn, light green are sorghum. wheat is go1d; brown fields have been harvested or lie fallow). But pumping water faster than it can naturally be replenished has taken Its toll; water levels have dropped significantly over the past 50 years across much of the region

High Plains farmers were blissfully unaware a generation ago that a dilemma was already unfolding. In the early 1950s, when Rodger Funk started farming near Garden City, Kan., everyone believed the water was inexhaustible. "People were drilling wells," he says. "You could pump all the water you wanted to pump."
And they did. What changed every thing
for Funk, now age 81, was a public meeting in the late 1960s at Garden City
Community College. State and federal geologists, who had been studying where
all that water was coming from, announced grim findings. "They said it's
geologic water. When it's gone, it's gone," Funk says. "I remember
coming home and feeling so depressed."
Today his community in southern
Kansas, 180 miles west of Wichita, is one of the High Plains areas hardest hit
by the aquifer's decline. Groundwater level has dropped 150 feet or more,
forcing many farmers to abandon their wells. The cause is obvious, says Mark
Rude, executive director of the Southwest Kansas Ground water Management
District: overuse.
With a liquid treasure below their
feet and a global market eager for their products, farmers here and across the
region have made a Faustian bargain-giving up long-term conservation for
short-term gain. To capitalize on economic opportunities, landowners are
knowingly "mining" a finite resource.
Choosing to use water from one of
the world's largest aquifers rather than leaving it in the ground is not
irresponsible, says Andrew Stone, executive director of the American
Groundwater Trust in Concord, NH. Like
coal or natural gas, groundwater is a valuable resource. "There is no benefit
to mankind to keeping it unused in cold storage," Stone says. The
challenge is to stretch the life of the aquifer to benefit future generations
of farmers and those who depend on their products.
In Garden City, however, the
severity of their circumstances is already forcing farmers to take action. They
are grappling with how to maintain successful agricultural operations while
relying on less and less water, an issue that water users throughout the
region, and the world, must eventually face, Rude says. "The community of
water users needs to figure this out," he adds. "We'll get to sustain
ability one way or another, but it may be sustaining an
economy without the Ogallala Aquifer."
Tapping the
Aquifer
On a hydrographic map, the Ogallala
is a Rorschach inkblot that some describe as the shape of a mushroom, others
the South American continent. Millions of years ago, when the southern Rocky
Mountains were still spewing lava, rivers and streams cut channels that carried
stony pieces of the mountains eastward. Sediment eventually covered the area
and filled in the ancient channels, creating vast plains. The water that
permeates the buried gravel is mostly from the vanished rivers. It has been
down there for at least three million years, percolating slowly in a saturated
gravel bed that varies from more than 1,000 feet thick in the North to a few
feet in the Southwest.
We'll
get to sustainability one way or another, but it may be sustaining an economy
without
the Ogallala Aquifer .
Until recently, most of the region
had no permanent settlements. Native American tribes who used the open plains
for seasonal hunting retreated to river valleys to pitch their tents. When
Spanish conquistador Francisco Vazquez de Coronado came through in 1541 looking
for the gold cities of Cibola, he marched his iron clad men to the brink of
exhaustion, never knowing that water to quench their near maddening thirst lay
mere yards beneath their boots. Similarly, cattle drives in the 1860s and 1870s
collapsed in a perfect storm of drought, overgrazing and falling meat prices.
And early attempts at farming were plagued by soil erosion and cycles of
drought that culminated in the 1930s Dust Bowl.
Industrial-scale extraction of the
aquifer did not begin until after World War II. Diesel powered pumps replaced windmills, increasing output from a
few gallons a minute to hundreds. Over the next 20 years the High Plains turned
from brown to green. The number of irrigation wells in West Texas alone
exploded from 1,166 in 1937 to more than 66,000 in 1971. By 1977 one of the
poorest farming regions in the country had been transformed into one of the
wealthiest, raising much of the nation's agricultural exports and fattening 40
percent of its grain-fed beef.

Dandy source: For decades,
farmers and townspeople across the High Plains drilled wells with abandon,
believing they could pump all the water they wanted. In Broken Bow, Neb.,
wind-powered pumps draw from the Ogallala, which is just 50 feet below the
surface there.
But the miracle of new pumping
technology was taking its toll below the prairie. By 1980 water levels had dropped by an average of nearly io feet
throughout the region. In the central and southern parts of the High Plains
some declines exceeded 100 feet. Concerned public officials turned to the U.S.
Geological Survey, which has studied the aquifer since the early 1900s. With their state and Jocal counterparts,
USGS officials began monitoring more than 7,000 wells to assess the annual
water-level changes.
What they found was alarming: yearly
groundwater withdrawals quintupled between 1949 and 1974. In some places
farmers were withdrawing four to six feet a year, while nature was putting back
half an inch. In 1975 the overdraft equaled the flow of the Colorado River.
Today the Ogallala Aquifer is being depleted at an annual volume equivalent to
18 Colorado Rivers. Although precipitation and river systems are recharging a
few parts of the northern aquifer, in most places nature cannot keep up with
human demands. "We have optimistic locations. Other places we can see the
end," says David Pope, who administered groundwater regulations in Kansas
from 1983 to 2007 as the state's chief engineer.
For Funk, the depressing data he
took home from that Garden City meeting was transforming. Whereas other farmers
responded to declining water levels by adding wells, Funk eliminated them:
"We decided to go dryland." Today he pumps almost no water on his
6,000 acres, which are planted largely in wheat and grain sorghum. These crops
are typically not as lucrative as corn, but they are sustaining Funk's family.
To farm without groundwater, Funk has changed some of his methods. Instead of
plowing his fields after harvest, he leaves the stubble in the ground and
plants a new crop in the residue. This technique not only reduces soil erosion
but also decreases evaporation and catches more blowing snow than bare ground.
Leaving crop residue in the field can reduce moisture loss by the equivalent of
an inch or more of rainfall annually, scientists say. Funk aims to capture
every bit of the 18 inches of precipitation that fall on southwestern Kansas.
"Got to," he says, "It's all we've got around here."
Funk is part of a small but steady
movement away from groundwater dependence. The scientific certainty of
Ogallala's decline has spurred an interest in conservation throughout the
region. Researchers are developing less thirsty crops, including drought-tolerant
corn. Their goal is to reduce the amount of water corn crops require by at
least 10 percent, says Wenwei Xu, a research scientist at Texas A&M. The Ogallala Initiative, a U.S. Department
of Agriculture project, funds studies designed to make the agricultural
industry-and the rural communities that depend on it-more sustainable. An
annual $3.6-million congressional appropriation supports the research, ranging
from irrigation techniques and precipitation management to animal feedlot
operations.
At a USDA research station near
Amarillo, Tex., scientists are compiling data that encourage Funk and other
farmers to use low- or no-till techniques (such as leaving crop residue to
decompose), says Nolan Clark, station director and an agri-
cultural
engineer. Other projects aim to bring high tech down home. Engineers have
installed 16 wireless infrared sensors on the arm of a center-pivot system used
to irrigate cotton in a research plot. The sensors are calibrated to measure
leaf temperatures, allowing the plants themselves to tell computer-controlled
irrigation equipment when they are thirsty. At a scientifically determined
threshold, the sprinklers turn on automatically. Because these robotic
irrigation systems apply water only when it is needed, in test fields they are
saving two inches per crop per season, Clark says.

Eyeing
profit: A new-age gold rush ,for water, is adding even more pressure on the
overused aquifer. Billionaire oilman T. Boone Pickens wants to build a 654-mile
pipeline to ship Ogallala water underneath his massive Mesa Vista Ranch in the
Texas panhandle to the dry Dallas and El Paso metropolises.
Evapotranspiration is another way
plants can communicate with high-tech irrigation systems. Researchers are
designing equipment that uses lasers to measure the turbulence caused by heat
waves above crops. The greater the turbulence, the more water plants need. The
laser equipment will eventually estimate daily evapotranspiration rates on a
regional scale. These will be posted on the Internet, giving farmers
information they can use to adjust their irrigation to the needs of their
crops.

Solution: Agricultural
engineers Susan O'shaughnessy and Nolan Clark adjust the field of view for
wireless infrared sensors on an advanced irrigation system; The sensors measure
leaf stress, allowing the plants themselves to tell the equipment when they are
thirsty, reducing wasted watering.
Such devices may not save dramatic
amounts of water, but in West Texas, where the Ogallala is in rapid decline,
they are critical. A savings of 10 to 15 percent per crop per season spread
over millions of acres - "that's a significant amount of
water,"
Clark says. "We may not make the aquifer sustainable, but we may give it
another 100 years."
Yet even as these innovations move
from experimental plots to production fields, improvements in efficiency may be
offset by new demands on groundwater. Bio-fuels are the latest enticement to
grow corn, which garners higher profits but requires more water than most other
crops. Plans to double the number of ethanol production facilities in the High
Plains region are driving farmers to increase corn production despite already
scarce ground water. That could require up to 120 billion additional gallons of
Ogallala water annually, according to a report by the Environmental Defense
Fund (EDF).
Growing populations throughout the
Great Plains region are also demanding more municipal water from the only
available source: the aquifer. T. Boone Pickens, the billionaire oilman-and
recent alternative energy advocate, is among the entrepreneurs who have entered
the domestic water market. A Texas law granting landowners unrestricted rights
to the water beneath their property makes it possible for Pickens to sell
groundwater from his 24,000-acreMesa Vista Ranch in the Texas panhandle to
metropolises as far away as Dallas and El Paso. The 654-mile pipeline he plans
to build to El Paso would cost $2.1 billion. But with water sales priced at
more than $1,000 an acre-foot, profit is waiting to be had.
Leaving
crop residue in the field instead of removing it can reduce precipitation loss
by the equivalent of an inch or more of rainfall annually. Nolan Clark
Agriculture engineer and USDA research station director.
Looming over these new demands for the Ogallala's finite water supply is climate change. Although precipitation in Nebraska at the northern end of the aquifer will likely increase, scientists predict the southern parts of the region will get even less than the 16 inches of annual precipitation they now receive.
In the face of these combined
demands on the already over tapped aquifer, many High Plains water users are
joining Funk in reassessing their futures. No matter how efficiently they use
it, they know the groundwater will eventually be gone leaving them, their
communities, and most of the region high and dry. Like Funk, they are starting
to make plans for a time when the Ogallala will not meet their economic needs.
Some growers are joining Funk in moving to dryland farming growing wheat and
other crops that do not require irrigation. In eastern Colorado, farmers are
planting hardy sunflowers, which require 30 percent less water than corn.
Other farmers are turning to native
grasslands for economic alternatives. Before European settlers arrived, the
billion acres of grasses that blanketed the High Plains were home to pronghorn
antelope and swift fox, lesser prairie chickens and burrowing owls as well as
buffalo. Blue grama, green needle grass and other drought-resistant plants
thrived in the short growing season. More than half these native grasslands
have been converted to crops, including nearly 25 million acres since 1982,
according to a 2007 General Accounting Office study.
A return to grasslands could be a
potential source of income, says Amy Hardberger, an attorney with the EDF in
Austin, Tex. In a project she is coordinating, farmers are experimenting with
grassland restoration on fields they have been forced to retire because of
groundwater depletions. In addition to providing wildlife habitat,
grasslands
could be grazed by cattle or even buffalo. Hunting, ecotourism and "dude
ranches" are other potential sources of income from grasslands, And once a
national carbon market is established, farmers could sell credits for storing
carbon. In grassland soil. "This is a tough group of people," says
Hardberger, whose grandfather raised cotton near Lubbock, Tex. "They don't want to leave their
land-and they shouldn't have to."

New outlook:
Strict regulations could conserve water. So could less thirsty crops.
Some
farmers are already adjusting to Ogallala Aquifer declines by replacing thirsty
crops such as corn with sunflowers and other less demanding options. Most local
residents also acknowledge the need to regulate pumping over the long term;
even though there is widespread resistance to government interference.
Nevertheless, state and local officials throughout the region are adopting
groundwater rules. Nebraska imposes a minimum distance between wells. In
Colorado, permits for new wells are not issued until the amount of groundwater
underneath the land has been determined. Kansas requires meters on all
large-capacity wells and limits pumping to an amount that can be sustained over
the long term. Some local groundwater districts have cut pumping in half to
protect public wetlands and downstream water rights. Others are considering
reducing groundwater usage by 40 percent over the next 25 years. Although each
of the eight states is facing the reality of groundwater declines in its own
way, they are united on at least one front: no one wants the federal government
to intervene. -J.B.L.
Several federal government programs
provide economic incentives for conservation of existing grasslands-recognizing
their role in reducing erosion, sequestering carbon, and providing habitat for
the lesser prairie chicken and other endangered species. But these programs
often work at cross-purposes with federal price support incentives to produce
corn and other commodities. Subsidies for crops are generally higher than
subsidies for grassland conservation, making the choice simple for most
growers.
The contradictions in these federal
programs reflect America's ambivalence about the Ogallala Aquifer. Eventually the nation will need a strategy to
end its dependence on this finite resource, says Stone, the Groundwater Trust
executive. But for now, across much of the High Plains it's business as usual:
drilling and pumping water, irrigating and growing crops as if the Ogallala era
will never end.
For Funk in Garden City, it already has.
Using technology and foresight, he has transformed his farm into a business he
believes can continue into the distant future without draining the Ogallala.
"Forever? We hope so," he says. "That's been our goal."
Jane Braxton Little is a writer and photographer based in Plumas
County, Calif. She wrote about restoring the Borneo rain forest in the previous
issue of Scientific American Earth 3.0.